Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000264 0.000295 0.000328 0.000367 0.000411 0.000459 0.000516
2025-01-26 0.000208 0.000252 0.000304 0.000371 0.000454 0.000554 0.000686
2025-02-02 0.000181 0.000232 0.000298 0.000388 0.000508 0.000666 0.000892
2025-02-09 0.000154 0.000208 0.000280 0.000383 0.000531 0.000737 0.001052
2025-02-16 0.000137 0.000193 0.000270 0.000387 0.000563 0.000822 0.001241
2025-02-23 0.000122 0.000177 0.000257 0.000383 0.000582 0.000888 0.001412
2025-03-02 0.000111 0.000167 0.000250 0.000386 0.000609 0.000969 0.001618
2025-03-09 0.000102 0.000156 0.000241 0.000385 0.000629 0.001042 0.001819
2025-03-16 0.000090 0.000142 0.000224 0.000367 0.000620 0.001062 0.001928
2025-03-23 0.000084 0.000135 0.000219 0.000369 0.000644 0.001142 0.002162
2025-03-30 0.000080 0.000133 0.000221 0.000384 0.000691 0.001271 0.002513
2025-04-06 0.000074 0.000124 0.000210 0.000375 0.000694 0.001316 0.002700
2025-04-13 0.000066 0.000113 0.000196 0.000357 0.000678 0.001325 0.002816
2025-04-20 0.000062 0.000109 0.000192 0.000361 0.000707 0.001429 0.003170
2025-04-27 0.000060 0.000108 0.000196 0.000377 0.000764 0.001603 0.003720
2025-05-04 0.000056 0.000102 0.000189 0.000373 0.000777 0.001681 0.004054
2025-05-11 0.000053 0.000099 0.000186 0.000376 0.000806 0.001801 0.004523
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000094 0.000180 0.000373 0.000819 0.001886 0.004914
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000091 0.000178 0.000375 0.000846 0.002008 0.005438
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000087 0.000173 0.000374 0.000865 0.002112 0.005935
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000081 0.000163 0.000357 0.000842 0.002106 0.006098
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000078 0.000160 0.000359 0.000868 0.002232 0.006706
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000078 0.000163 0.000373 0.000926 0.002460 0.007708